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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09-0.10vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Stanford University2.580.7%1st Place
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2.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.21Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 65.5% | 23.8% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 14.0% | 27.9% | 30.4% | 17.5% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.1% | 29.8% | 28.6% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 22.2% | 35.2% | 15.5% |
| Emily Smith | 4.0% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 23.1% | 27.0% | 17.3% | 6.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.9% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 25.5% | 28.5% | 10.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.