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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.11vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.50-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Stanford University2.580.7%1st Place
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2.88University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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2.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.21Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.36University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 65.7% | 22.8% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.3% | 28.4% | 28.4% | 19.7% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.4% | 29.5% | 28.9% | 17.6% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.8% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 35.0% | 15.5% |
| Emily Smith | 3.9% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 24.6% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 5.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 69.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.5% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 26.6% | 26.5% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.