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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+0.41vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Stanford University2.580.7%1st Place
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2.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.15Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 65.5% | 23.8% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 14.1% | 26.6% | 32.2% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.0% | 29.8% | 28.2% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Smith | 2.4% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 23.9% | 27.0% | 19.1% | 5.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 32.2% | 16.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 19.3% | 24.9% | 27.8% | 11.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 16.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.