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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+0.41vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Stanford University2.580.7%1st Place
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2.88University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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2.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.16Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 65.6% | 23.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.8% | 26.1% | 32.2% | 17.3% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.2% | 30.2% | 28.7% | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Smith | 2.4% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 23.6% | 27.1% | 19.2% | 5.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 32.2% | 16.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.9% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 25.0% | 27.8% | 11.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 16.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.