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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+1.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58-0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.09+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.08vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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1.52Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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4.35University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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2.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.18Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 15.4% | 28.8% | 26.4% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 61.6% | 27.8% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 5.0% | 6.7% | 15.5% | 23.6% | 26.1% | 16.4% | 6.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 13.6% | 25.3% | 30.0% | 20.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 33.8% | 16.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.2% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 25.8% | 28.6% | 10.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.