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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+6.00vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.32+5.26vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+1.08vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.52vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.07+1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09-0.37vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.06-4.83vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.70+1.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.14+1.87vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.18-5.20vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-2.57vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-0.62vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.66-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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7.26Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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3.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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7.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Berkeley0.070.1%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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13.87University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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11.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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14.38University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 17.9% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 23.5% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rory Collins | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 21.2% | 24.7% | 15.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 25.1% | 31.8% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 25.4% | 44.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.