← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+4.16vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+5.22vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University0.32+4.52vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.43vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.91vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+1.73vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09+1.97vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-0.66+2.54vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.07-0.65vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.18-1.92vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.31vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+2.45vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-2.14+1.01vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.40-6.75vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-1.70-1.71vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California1.47-11.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.16University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
7.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
-
7.52Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
-
3.57California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
-
6.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
-
7.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
-
8.97University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
8.35University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.08University of California at San Diego0.180.1%1st Place
-
8.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
-
14.45University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
-
14.01University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
-
13.29University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
-
4.26University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 21.8% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Florence Duff | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 45.6% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 16.0% | 29.4% | 31.6% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 21.1% | 28.1% | 17.6% |
| Luke Harris | 16.2% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.