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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.27+3.83vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+3.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+4.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+2.83vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.20+2.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+1.22vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.82vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.84-2.05vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.76+1.14vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.26-2.43vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.44-4.37vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.71-2.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.08-1.10vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.31-3.16vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.07-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Georgetown University2.2714.6%1st Place
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5.31Boston College2.0213.1%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University1.276.8%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.698.8%1st Place
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7.39University of Miami1.647.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island1.205.5%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.1%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.808.8%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University1.847.5%1st Place
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11.14Bowdoin College0.762.6%1st Place
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8.57North Carolina State University1.264.8%1st Place
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7.63Cornell University1.447.5%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University0.713.1%1st Place
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12.9Harvard University-0.080.9%1st Place
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11.84University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
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11.93Yale University0.072.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 14.6% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Max Sigel | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Andy Yu | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Cabot | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 34.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.