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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+8.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.31+5.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.73+5.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+6.17vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+3.85vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+2.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.06vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.06-0.81vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-1.13vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.48-0.93vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.36-6.06vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-2.36vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.22vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.65-3.00vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College4.15-9.93vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin4.10-11.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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11.17Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.87Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.64University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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14.0Washington College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Olin Davis | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 17.7% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| Dan Ricker | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 31.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.