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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+4.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+5.24vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.07+4.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47-1.73vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+0.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.31vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.42vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.32-2.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.18-3.98vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.70+0.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-2.14-0.03vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.66-4.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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3.52California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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7.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.65Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at San Diego0.180.1%1st Place
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13.19University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 10.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 22.9% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Luke Harris | 16.6% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rory Collins | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 20.3% | 26.6% | 17.4% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 17.1% | 27.6% | 31.9% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 25.7% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.