← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.47+3.13vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.53vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.33vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+4.82vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.90vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.34vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.18+1.10vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.32-0.60vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-1.48vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.40-2.64vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.07-2.65vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09-3.14vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.39vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-2.14-0.05vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-0.49vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-1.70-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.13University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
-
3.53California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
-
5.33University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
8.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
-
6.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
-
7.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
8.1University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
-
7.4Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
-
7.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
-
7.36University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
-
8.35University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.86University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.61University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
13.95University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
-
14.51University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
-
13.29University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 24.5% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Rory Collins | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 17.2% | 29.8% | 29.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 23.3% | 49.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 22.1% | 26.8% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.