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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.32+6.43vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.47+2.15vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.18+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+1.66vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.07+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.40-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.66-1.39vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-4.34vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+0.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.14-0.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.70-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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3.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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8.06University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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7.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.47University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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14.06University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Grimsley | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 18.7% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 22.1% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Rory Collins | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Florence Duff | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 12.5% | 25.4% | 44.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 28.8% | 33.6% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 23.0% | 26.5% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.