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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.07+7.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09+6.82vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.41vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.32+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.47-2.69vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.82vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.18-1.88vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.40-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.70+1.13vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-6.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-0.48vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-2.14-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.53California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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7.62Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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7.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at San Diego0.180.1%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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13.13University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Cremers | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rory Collins | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 22.9% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 18.1% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 19.6% | 26.6% | 17.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 25.6% | 46.7% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 17.5% | 28.6% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.