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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+7.48vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.47+2.19vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09+5.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.30vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+1.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.65vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.32-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.40-1.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.07-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-4.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.70+1.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.18-5.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+0.44vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.66-4.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-2.14-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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3.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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7.43Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.98University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Luke Harris | 18.8% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 22.4% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 21.4% | 25.6% | 18.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 12.8% | 25.2% | 44.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 15.7% | 29.4% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.