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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+4.60vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.45vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48-0.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.64+2.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+3.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.52+2.89vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-3.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23+0.12vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.81-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.97-3.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-2.29-0.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.90-5.68vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.90-6.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.28University of Southern California1.480.4%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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9.59University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.86Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.900.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 9.3% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 7.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 40.0% | 25.1% | 17.5% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Andrew Ring | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| William Bailly | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 11.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Mason Read | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 27.4% |
| Fiona Wu | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Meyers | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.