← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+3.50vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.90+5.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.48-0.71vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.47vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine-1.52+4.96vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+3.61vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-2.69+5.77vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-0.64-0.70vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-1.81+1.81vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine-2.29+2.13vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-2.81vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.97-4.46vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-0.90-5.64vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-9.49vs Predicted
-
16California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-10.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
-
7.98University of California at Santa Cruz-0.900.0%1st Place
-
2.29University of Southern California1.480.4%1st Place
-
5.47University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
-
9.96University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
-
9.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
12.77University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
-
7.3University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
-
10.81Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.19University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
-
8.54University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.36University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
-
5.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
-
5.58California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ring | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Meyers | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 40.7% | 24.0% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 6.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 3.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 42.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| William Bailly | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 11.0% |
| Mason Read | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 27.7% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Fiona Wu | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.