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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+10.04vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+7.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+7.44vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+5.92vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+3.44vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+3.05vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.36+3.54vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.29+6.99vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.19vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.56-0.42vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.37-0.47vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-4.20vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.92-5.73vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.05-3.27vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.88-7.89vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-7.06vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.71-9.11vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.53SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.44Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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14.99Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.73Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.94University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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15.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Liberty | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Harry Scott | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Gary Herring | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 31.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Pesch | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Drew Shea | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Alex Cook | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.