← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.44+6.56vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.84+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College0.76+8.16vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.02+1.31vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.69+1.79vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.27+1.88vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.74vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University1.26+0.59vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin0.31+2.65vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-1.73vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami1.64-3.55vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.27-7.24vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University-0.08-0.07vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.20-5.97vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University0.71-4.80vs Predicted
-
16Yale University0.07-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.56Cornell University1.447.3%1st Place
-
7.05Roger Williams University1.848.2%1st Place
-
11.16Bowdoin College0.762.2%1st Place
-
5.31Boston College2.0212.8%1st Place
-
6.79Brown University1.697.2%1st Place
-
7.88Tufts University1.276.2%1st Place
-
6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.809.6%1st Place
-
8.59North Carolina State University1.265.7%1st Place
-
11.65University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
-
8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.9%1st Place
-
7.45University of Miami1.646.4%1st Place
-
4.76Georgetown University2.2715.4%1st Place
-
12.93Harvard University-0.081.2%1st Place
-
8.03University of Rhode Island1.205.6%1st Place
-
10.2Fordham University0.713.3%1st Place
-
12.11Yale University0.071.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Ehnot | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 11.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Andy Yu | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 16.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Peter Barnard | 15.4% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 34.2% |
| Max Sigel | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.