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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+2.40vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+2.53vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.01+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.69+6.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+2.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.90+0.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.52+0.94vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-0.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.90-3.67vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.81-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.64-6.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-2.29-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of Southern California1.480.4%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
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5.53California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.0Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.97University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 41.0% | 25.0% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 12.5% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 9.5% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 6.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Adam Leddy | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 44.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Sophia Meyers | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Fiona Wu | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| William Bailly | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 12.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Mason Read | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.