← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.48+1.35vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+2.65vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+2.80vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles-2.69+9.68vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-1.81+6.42vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.14vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+2.80vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.64-1.47vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.90-1.54vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-1.48vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.90-3.56vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.97-4.40vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-2.29-1.41vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-1.52-4.44vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.35University of Southern California1.480.4%1st Place
-
4.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
-
5.8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
-
13.68University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
-
11.42Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
-
5.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
-
10.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
-
8.46University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
-
9.52University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
-
8.44University of California at Santa Cruz-0.900.0%1st Place
-
8.6University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
12.59University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
-
10.56University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
-
9.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 39.5% | 24.2% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 11.7% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 44.5% |
| William Bailly | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 9.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Fiona Wu | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Sophia Meyers | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Mason Read | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 22.7% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.