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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+1.34vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.74vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+7.89vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.90+3.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.90+2.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.01-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.64-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.52+0.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.35-6.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.00vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.81-1.67vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-4.57vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.29-2.22vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Southern California1.480.4%1st Place
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5.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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10.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.94California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
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10.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.33Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Irvine-2.290.0%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 39.7% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Sam Jennings | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Meyers | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Adam Leddy | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Ring | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| William Bailly | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Mason Read | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 20.7% | 24.5% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.