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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.46+6.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.90+3.27vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+4.52vs Predicted
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7-0.44-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-3.02+5.13vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+2.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.35+1.23vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.96-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.78-1.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.98-1.77vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.45-4.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.71-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.3%1st Place
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8.12University of California at San Diego-1.460.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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5.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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10.52University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.86-0.440.1%1st Place
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13.13University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
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11.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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8.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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10.01University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Davis-2.780.0%1st Place
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13.23University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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11.71Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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9.13University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 32.6% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| JT Long | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Camarero | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 25.3% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| John Gallagher | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Adem Evecek | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 17.6% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 24.0% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.