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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+3.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.90+3.33vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.96+4.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54+2.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-3.02+6.34vs Predicted
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8-0.44-3.15vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-0.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.71-1.04vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+0.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.98+0.29vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.45-2.25vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.46-6.82vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-5.61vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.78-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.3%1st Place
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9.77University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
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4.85-0.440.1%1st Place
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8.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.32University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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11.75Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Davis-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Kasper | 13.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 8.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 28.5% | 25.0% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sara Camarero | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 22.9% |
| JT Long | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% |
| John Gallagher | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 23.7% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% |
| Alex Bussey | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.