← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley-0.90+4.55vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54+5.64vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-1.71+5.33vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles-2.35+6.59vs Predicted
-
5-0.44-0.50vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University-2.45+4.81vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+2.56vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-2.61vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-6.38vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.51vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-3.02+1.34vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis-2.98+0.31vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.46-5.56vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-3.68vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-2.78-4.11vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-1.96-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.55University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
-
7.64University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
-
8.33University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
10.59University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
-
4.5-0.440.1%1st Place
-
10.81Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.56University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
-
5.39University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
-
2.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.4%1st Place
-
7.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
-
12.34University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
-
12.31University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
-
10.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.89University of California at Davis-2.780.0%1st Place
-
9.23University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aivan Durfee | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| John Gallagher | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% |
| JT Long | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Dante Massaro | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 35.4% | 23.1% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Sara Camarero | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 23.1% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 25.2% |
| Alex Bussey | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 16.9% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.