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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+3.16vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.98+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont4.10-0.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.85-2.10vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.07+1.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+2.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08-1.70vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.53-3.59vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51-4.49vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.83-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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4.68Bowdoin College2.980.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Vermont4.100.2%1st Place
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1.9Yale University4.850.5%1st Place
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6.18Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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5.41Brown University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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9.59Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Hughes | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Ambrose Gosling | 21.7% | 25.8% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 45.9% | 30.5% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Keller | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 24.4% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 51.4% | 19.7% |
| Chris Grabe | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 21.3% | 10.3% | 1.5% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 15.4% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.