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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+11.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.45+8.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+8.71vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+4.36vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84+2.54vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69+2.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.55vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.17-1.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18+1.34vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.26-0.65vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.01-0.07vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.80-4.95vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.36-4.10vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.99-2.65vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.07-9.17vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.31-6.98vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.79-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.06George Washington University1.072.5%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College1.454.5%1st Place
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4.07Yale University2.4219.4%1st Place
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12.71University of Pennsylvania1.161.4%1st Place
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9.36Tulane University1.734.2%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College1.846.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University1.695.4%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.8%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.178.3%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University1.182.8%1st Place
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10.35College of Charleston1.263.9%1st Place
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11.93Tufts University1.012.8%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University1.806.3%1st Place
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9.9Boston College1.363.9%1st Place
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12.35University of South Florida0.992.8%1st Place
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6.83Stanford University2.079.4%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University1.314.1%1st Place
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8.38Cornell University1.796.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.4% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% |
| Emily Doble | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% |
| Ellie Harned | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.