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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+8.67vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+8.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+5.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+5.56vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.88vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+0.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89+0.45vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.92-3.57vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-4.27vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.39vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-5.59vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-1.24vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.95-10.05vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.29-4.17vs Predicted
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20Brown University3.05-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.45Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.61SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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15.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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14.83Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.53Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Gary Herring | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Alex Cook | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Stocke | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Harry Scott | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 40.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 25.7% |
| Drew Shea | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.