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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.76+9.92vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.44+5.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.99vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.84+2.96vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.23vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.27-1.15vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.02-1.57vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27-0.24vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26-0.49vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.07+2.05vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.08+1.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-3.86vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.64-5.63vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.71-3.69vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.31-3.10vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.20-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.92Bowdoin College0.762.9%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University1.447.4%1st Place
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6.99Brown University1.698.3%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University1.847.6%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.809.8%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University2.2715.8%1st Place
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5.43Boston College2.0211.4%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University1.276.4%1st Place
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8.51North Carolina State University1.265.5%1st Place
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12.05Yale University0.071.7%1st Place
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12.97Harvard University-0.080.9%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.5%1st Place
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7.37University of Miami1.646.2%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin0.311.6%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island1.205.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Reimer | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Andy Yu | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Barnard | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 19.9% |
| Matthew Cabot | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 33.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 19.6% |
| Max Sigel | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.