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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.95+6.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-0.46vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+5.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.80+5.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.68+4.17vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.27vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-5.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.42+0.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.62-0.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.73-3.82vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-1.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-3.00-2.00vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-1.26-8.11vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.64-4.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.80-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.4%1st Place
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8.72University of California at San Diego-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.1%1st Place
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10.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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10.92University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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12.0University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Barbara-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.05Arizona State University-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Henderson | 42.4% | 27.1% | 16.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laurence Mach | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 14.3% | 20.7% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Tran | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 16.5% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ratterree | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.