← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.12vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+7.36vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara-1.26+3.79vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-0.42vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-1.33vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-2.62+4.96vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-1.73+1.19vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-2.64+2.91vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-3.00+2.99vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-5.49vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-2.42-0.71vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-1.95-3.15vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-2.80-1.59vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-3.28vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-2.80-3.59vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-4.56vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-2.68-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.4%1st Place
-
9.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.79University of California at Santa Barbara-1.260.0%1st Place
-
3.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.1%1st Place
-
3.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
-
10.96University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
-
8.19University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
-
10.91Arizona State University-2.640.0%1st Place
-
11.99University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
-
4.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
-
10.29University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
-
8.85University of California at San Diego-1.950.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
-
10.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
-
11.44University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
-
11.22University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Henderson | 42.9% | 27.1% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 14.8% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 15.5% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ratterree | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Laurence Mach | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Tran | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.