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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+2.43vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-1.73+5.13vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-1.26+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-1.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.95+1.85vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.68+2.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.62+0.97vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.42-0.72vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-1.19vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.64-2.04vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.80-2.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-3.59vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-3.00-3.88vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.80-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.2%1st Place
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2.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.4%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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3.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Santa Barbara-1.260.0%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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8.85University of California at San Diego-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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10.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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10.96Arizona State University-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Baker-Berry | 17.7% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 41.2% | 26.6% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 15.1% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laurence Mach | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Tran | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ratterree | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.