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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-1.26+3.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+0.53vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.95+2.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.73+1.18vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+2.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.62+1.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.42+0.35vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.68-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.80-1.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-2.78vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-3.00-2.82vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.64-4.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.80-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.4%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.2%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Santa Barbara-1.260.0%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.1%1st Place
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8.89University of California at San Diego-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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9.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Davis-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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12.18University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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11.06Arizona State University-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Henderson | 42.3% | 26.1% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 18.3% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.9% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 14.6% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laurence Mach | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Tran | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ratterree | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.