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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+2.41vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+2.24vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+0.50vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-1.26+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.62+4.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-3.00+3.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.73-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.75+1.39vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-1.19vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-1.08vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.64-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.42-3.62vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.95-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.2%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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2.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.4%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Barbara-1.260.0%1st Place
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10.13University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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10.74University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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8.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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9.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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10.12Arizona State University-2.640.0%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at San Diego-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Baker-Berry | 16.7% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 16.7% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 41.2% | 26.7% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.5% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 23.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Dylan Tran | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% |
| Elizabeth Ratterree | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 16.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| Laurence Mach | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.