← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College2.29+13.77vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.92+6.11vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.88+5.31vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.37+6.56vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+6.33vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin3.36+4.35vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.67+2.21vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.51+2.19vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College3.71-0.23vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.89-1.92vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.55vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.51vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.95vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida3.49-3.93vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College4.05-7.54vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.56-6.44vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University3.95-9.15vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.05-6.12vs Predicted
-
19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
14.77Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.11University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.31Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
10.56Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
10.35University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
-
9.21Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.19University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.77Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.08Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
9.45SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
10.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.07University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.46Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
9.56Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
7.85Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.88Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
15.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 26.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alex Cook | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| William Hutchings | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Harry Scott | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Gary Herring | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Will Stocke | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Drew Shea | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.