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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+6.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+4.20vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+4.16vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.84+2.93vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+0.14vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+0.88vs Predicted
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7Harvard University-0.08+5.92vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.26+0.43vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.27-4.26vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.71+0.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-3.01vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.76-1.02vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.44-5.44vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.07-2.08vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-5.33vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.31-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Tufts University1.275.8%1st Place
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6.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.809.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Miami1.647.7%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University1.848.6%1st Place
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5.14Boston College2.0213.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University1.698.8%1st Place
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12.92Harvard University-0.081.2%1st Place
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8.43North Carolina State University1.265.2%1st Place
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4.74Georgetown University2.2716.0%1st Place
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10.1Fordham University0.713.2%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.406.1%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College0.762.5%1st Place
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7.56Cornell University1.446.6%1st Place
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11.92Yale University0.071.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island1.053.2%1st Place
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11.58University of Wisconsin0.312.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Andy Yu | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 33.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Peter Barnard | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.