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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+5.05vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+3.67vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.76+6.71vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.44+2.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.31+4.38vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.27-3.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+1.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.72-3.89vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-3.24vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26-3.80vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-3.52vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.20-1.54vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.07-3.29vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.71-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Boston College2.0213.2%1st Place
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7.05University of Miami1.647.2%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University1.848.2%1st Place
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10.71Bowdoin College0.762.5%1st Place
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7.38Cornell University1.446.7%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.8%1st Place
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11.38University of Wisconsin0.312.5%1st Place
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4.46Georgetown University2.2717.4%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.5%1st Place
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6.11Brown University1.729.8%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University1.186.7%1st Place
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8.2North Carolina State University1.265.4%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island1.053.8%1st Place
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12.46Harvard University-0.201.7%1st Place
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11.71Yale University0.072.1%1st Place
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9.79Fordham University0.713.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 16.8% |
| Peter Barnard | 17.4% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 29.6% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.