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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+3.66vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.27+2.57vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.01+4.95vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.01-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.27-2.66vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.13vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.08+1.26vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20-0.56vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.48-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.68+3.04vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.18-2.32vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.21-5.37vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.36vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.49Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.57University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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8.95Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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3.92North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.34University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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6.87Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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9.26Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.44The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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7.77Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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14.04University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.68Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.63Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.64Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.8% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Adam Larson | 16.5% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 21.7% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Carter Morin | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 18.4% | 61.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Niah Ford | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 21.1% | 32.5% | 16.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 20.7% | 32.5% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.