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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+3.98vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.76+8.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+3.80vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.27+0.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.18+2.61vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.44+1.19vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.72-0.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.20-1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.64-2.88vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.07+0.85vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26-3.66vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.20-0.33vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-3.78vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.71-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.31-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Boston College2.0214.6%1st Place
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10.72Bowdoin College0.762.8%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University1.847.8%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University2.2715.9%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University1.185.1%1st Place
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7.19Cornell University1.446.4%1st Place
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6.25Brown University1.7210.2%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.8%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island1.205.6%1st Place
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7.12University of Miami1.647.6%1st Place
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11.85Yale University0.071.6%1st Place
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8.34North Carolina State University1.266.5%1st Place
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12.67Harvard University-0.201.4%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.7%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University0.713.5%1st Place
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11.54University of Wisconsin0.312.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Barnard | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Max Sigel | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 20.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 30.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.