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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.60+8.53vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.88+6.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+6.27vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+6.56vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+3.30vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.51+2.92vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.49vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.64vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+0.98vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-1.67vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.97vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29+1.05vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+0.57vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-5.62vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.05-5.04vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.95-10.22vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.56-9.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.28Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.33University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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15.05Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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15.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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10.38Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.96Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.78Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Scott | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Alex Cook | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Will Stocke | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Gary Herring | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 28.3% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 39.9% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Drew Shea | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.