← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+5.80vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.17+1.45vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University2.01+0.82vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.27-0.62vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.62-0.17vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.27-0.32vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.21+1.41vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-0.08+1.20vs Predicted
-
9Duke University-0.18+0.49vs Predicted
-
11Rollins College0.01-1.95vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College0.48-4.26vs Predicted
-
13University of South Carolina-2.68+1.15vs Predicted
-
14The Citadel0.20-5.34vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-2.20vs Predicted
-
16Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.8Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
-
3.45Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
-
3.82North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
-
3.38University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
-
4.83Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
-
5.68University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
-
8.41Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
-
9.2Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
-
9.49Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
9.05Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
-
7.74Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
-
14.15University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.66The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
12.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
12.54Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.6% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 16.6% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 23.0% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scott | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| KA Hamner | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Carter Morin | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 8.4% | 18.6% | 63.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 20.5% | 33.2% | 18.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 24.1% | 31.3% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.