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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+3.83vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+0.70vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27+1.70vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.08+4.31vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18+3.62vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+1.51vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.01-4.00vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.21-0.45vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.48-2.11vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology0.78-4.95vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.01-3.68vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-1.97vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-2.68-0.88vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Miami2.660.3%1st Place
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3.64Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.7University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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9.31Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.62Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.51The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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4.0North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.55Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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7.89Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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7.05Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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9.32Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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12.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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14.12University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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12.72Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 11.9% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 30.7% | 25.2% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 17.9% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 14.7% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Carter Morin | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Torin Stremlau | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 23.1% | 25.0% | 11.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 17.7% | 65.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.