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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+0.71vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.64vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62+0.82vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.48+2.79vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.27-0.28vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.18+2.44vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.21+0.51vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.08+0.26vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.98vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20-2.40vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-0.04vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-2.68+0.09vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.01-6.03vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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2.71University of Miami2.660.3%1st Place
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3.64Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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4.82Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.79Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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9.44Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.51Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.26Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.02Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.6The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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12.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.09University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.97Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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12.55Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 16.2% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 30.7% | 24.9% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 18.9% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Niah Ford | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Julia Scott | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 22.9% | 33.3% | 20.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 20.6% | 60.7% |
| KA Hamner | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 23.1% | 31.2% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.