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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+0.70vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.84vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27+0.72vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.48+1.73vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17-3.37vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.62-3.15vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.08+0.25vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.21-1.41vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20-2.47vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.01-2.76vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.66-1.28vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-2.68-0.97vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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2.7University of Miami2.660.3%1st Place
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6.84Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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9.5Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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7.73Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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3.63Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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4.85Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.25Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.59Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.53The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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9.24Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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12.72Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.03University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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12.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 16.7% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 31.6% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 17.3% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Niah Ford | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| KA Hamner | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 23.6% | 31.1% | 17.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 21.0% | 58.6% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 21.5% | 30.2% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.