Race 7A

saisa-top-18-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Owen Bannasch 20.6% 18.1% 17.0% 15.9% 10.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Dennis 23.2% 21.7% 16.2% 13.2% 10.3% 6.8% 4.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Larson 17.9% 15.8% 17.4% 13.9% 11.8% 9.4% 6.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Schweda 10.4% 13.9% 12.6% 12.6% 13.1% 11.4% 9.4% 6.7% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andreas Keswater 8.1% 9.0% 9.0% 9.6% 12.1% 11.0% 12.2% 11.1% 6.4% 6.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Niah Ford 2.2% 3.3% 3.1% 5.1% 5.7% 6.1% 8.6% 10.6% 11.0% 11.0% 12.7% 11.6% 6.6% 2.1% 0.3%
Julia Scott 2.6% 2.2% 3.2% 2.9% 3.7% 6.4% 5.4% 8.3% 12.0% 11.4% 13.3% 12.2% 10.4% 4.6% 1.4%
Brendan Smucker 4.9% 4.0% 8.1% 7.2% 9.4% 8.7% 10.6% 11.0% 13.2% 8.9% 5.9% 5.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 1.9% 2.3% 4.1% 5.1% 4.6% 9.3% 8.7% 10.1% 11.2% 11.5% 10.9% 11.0% 6.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Carter Morin 3.5% 4.1% 3.0% 6.0% 8.2% 7.9% 10.8% 12.2% 10.8% 10.8% 10.2% 6.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Torin Stremlau 0.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 4.0% 5.7% 9.0% 11.5% 21.7% 26.6% 8.9%
Ian Hoogenboom 1.8% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 4.1% 4.3% 6.0% 8.6% 8.7% 11.2% 13.4% 15.1% 13.4% 6.6% 1.0%
KA Hamner 1.6% 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 4.4% 6.6% 7.0% 6.2% 9.7% 13.5% 12.7% 12.9% 10.4% 4.6% 0.9%
Tyler Williams 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 3.8% 6.6% 17.5% 65.3%
Timothy Dolan 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 8.9% 16.0% 33.9% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.