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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+1.28vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.50vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27+0.72vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.97vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.62-2.25vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.48-0.24vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.01-0.94vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+0.97vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.08-2.63vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.21-4.27vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.66-1.11vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.18-5.45vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-2.68-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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3.5Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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8.54The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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6.97Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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4.75Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.76Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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9.06Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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11.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.37Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.73Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.89Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.55Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.07University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 19.0% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 23.2% | 21.7% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.1% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| KA Hamner | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Torin Stremlau | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 21.3% | 26.3% | 9.9% |
| Julia Scott | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Niah Ford | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 16.3% | 34.2% | 23.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 19.0% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.