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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+3.22vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+6.28vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01-0.45vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.85+0.52vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.34vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.48-0.49vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.21-0.72vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.08-0.81vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.30-2.94vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.20-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-2.68+0.09vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-2.22vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.22University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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9.28Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.55North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
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6.66Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.51Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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8.28Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.19Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.06Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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8.52The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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14.09University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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12.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.57Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 24.5% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Adam Larson | 21.5% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carter Morin | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Julia Scott | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 9.3% | 20.5% | 60.2% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 21.9% | 32.2% | 20.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 23.4% | 30.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.