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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+3.22vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+1.43vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.63vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.08+4.04vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18+3.41vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.85-0.54vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.21+0.32vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.01-5.46vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.30-1.89vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.48-3.42vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.20-3.44vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.68+1.09vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.37vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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5.22University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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4.43Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.63Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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9.04Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.41Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
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8.32Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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3.54North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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8.11Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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7.58Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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8.56The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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14.09University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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12.63Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 25.2% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 20.3% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Carter Morin | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 20.8% | 60.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 22.0% | 31.5% | 17.2% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 22.6% | 31.2% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.