← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.13+3.17vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.51+1.41vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami0.88+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College-0.17+3.12vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.46-1.31vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.37-0.09vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.61-3.70vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-0.47-0.21vs Predicted
-
9Duke University-0.67-0.79vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University-2.39+1.70vs Predicted
-
11Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-1.21vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-1.20vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-3.94+0.05vs Predicted
-
15University of South Carolina-2.08-3.88vs Predicted
-
16The Citadel-3.41-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.17University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
-
3.41Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
-
4.73University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
-
7.12Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
3.69North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
-
5.91Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
-
3.3Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
-
7.79Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
-
8.21Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
11.7Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.79Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
-
11.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
-
14.05Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
-
11.12University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
-
13.22The Citadel-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 14.7% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 21.2% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 17.1% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 22.4% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 6.1% |
| William Meade | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 4.8% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 20.1% | 57.6% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 31.5% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.