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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+5.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.27+2.59vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+2.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+2.24vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64+2.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+1.94vs Predicted
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7Harvard University-0.20+5.72vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.44-0.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+1.32vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.07+1.75vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71-1.04vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.76-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.31-1.45vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.18-6.46vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.26-6.80vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.20-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Roger Williams University1.847.8%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University2.2717.2%1st Place
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5.03Boston College2.0212.2%1st Place
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6.24Brown University1.729.8%1st Place
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7.34University of Miami1.646.5%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.8%1st Place
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12.72Harvard University-0.201.2%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University1.446.7%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.5%1st Place
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11.75Yale University0.072.1%1st Place
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9.96Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
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10.82Bowdoin College0.762.5%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin0.312.3%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University1.186.5%1st Place
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8.2North Carolina State University1.265.5%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island1.206.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Barnard | 17.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 12.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Simpson | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 32.2% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 19.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 5.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 10.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 17.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Max Sigel | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.