← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.92+7.11vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+9.08vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+7.40vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.67+5.14vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.89+3.43vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida3.49+3.85vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College4.05+0.53vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.37+2.73vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin3.36+1.34vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.05+1.89vs Predicted
-
11Washington College2.29+3.90vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.71-2.69vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.88-5.06vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.73vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University3.95-7.11vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.70vs Predicted
-
17Boston University3.56-7.35vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont3.51-8.27vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.11University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
11.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
10.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
9.14Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.43Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
9.85University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.53Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
10.73Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
10.34University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
11.89Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
14.9Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.31Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.94Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
7.89Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.3SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.65Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
15.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Gary Herring | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Drew Shea | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 18.3% | 27.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Alex Cook | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Macdonald | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Harry Scott | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.