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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+2.50vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+1.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.13+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.88-0.18vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37-1.09vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-0.93vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.47-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+1.81vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.67-2.72vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-2.39-0.18vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-3.05vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-3.94+0.16vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.89-2.29vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-2.08-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.47North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.29Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.24University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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5.91Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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7.07Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.81Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.28Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.82Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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9.95Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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14.16Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
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12.71The Citadel-2.890.0%1st Place
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11.16University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 20.0% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 18.7% | 21.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 21.6% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 13.0% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 5.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 8.2% |
| William Meade | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 65.7% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 30.2% | 17.0% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.