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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.13+2.14vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+0.77vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+2.06vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-1.37+3.72vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37-1.14vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.51-4.46vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.47-2.26vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.67-2.75vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-0.31vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.08-1.72vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.39-2.19vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-3.41-1.68vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.94-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.14University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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3.59North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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4.77University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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7.06Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.72Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.86Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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7.74Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.25Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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11.28University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.81Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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13.32The Citadel-3.410.0%1st Place
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13.91Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 22.0% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.1% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 18.6% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 6.9% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 11.1% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 23.1% | 16.3% | 6.3% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 32.0% | 29.5% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.