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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.88+2.66vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.13+0.23vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-1.42vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+1.17vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.67+1.18vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37-2.08vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.47-1.18vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-0.16vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-0.20vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-2.39-1.05vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-2.89-1.19vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-2.08-3.78vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.94-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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3.52North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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4.23University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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3.58Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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7.17Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.18Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.92Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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7.82Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.84Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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11.95Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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12.81The Citadel-2.890.0%1st Place
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11.22University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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14.0Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 22.3% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.1% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 17.9% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Meade | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 21.0% | 16.0% | 9.5% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 6.6% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 29.8% | 18.9% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 3.2% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.