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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.31vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+1.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.51+0.44vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.13-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.88-1.18vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.67+1.15vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37-2.09vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.47-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+1.67vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-1.29vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-2.39-0.15vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-2.08-2.72vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-3.41-1.70vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.94-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.47North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.44Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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7.09Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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4.32University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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8.15Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.91Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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7.76Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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9.71Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.85Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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11.28University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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13.3The Citadel-3.410.0%1st Place
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13.92Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 22.4% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 18.9% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 20.2% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 12.8% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 5.5% |
| William Meade | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 6.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 18.9% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 28.7% | 30.3% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 23.7% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.