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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.13+2.15vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.17+4.02vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.37+1.87vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-1.42vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46-2.41vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.88-2.24vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.47-0.22vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.67-0.76vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-0.23vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-0.31vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.08-1.74vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.39-2.18vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-3.41-1.67vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.94-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.15University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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7.02Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.87Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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3.58Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.59North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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4.76University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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7.78Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.24Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.77Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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11.26University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.82Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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13.33The Citadel-3.410.0%1st Place
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13.89Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 23.8% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 12.5% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 18.8% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 17.8% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 6.7% |
| Robert Gates | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 11.2% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 22.6% | 16.5% | 6.3% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 31.7% | 29.7% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 20.3% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.