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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.88+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.13+1.18vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+3.12vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-1.43vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37-0.08vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.47+0.75vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.46-4.34vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.67-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+0.81vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-2.23vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.08-1.63vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.39-2.03vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.89-2.32vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.94-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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4.18University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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7.12Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.57Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.92Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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7.75Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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3.66North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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8.26Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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9.77Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.37University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.97Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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12.68The Citadel-2.890.0%1st Place
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14.02Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 23.8% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 17.6% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.1% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 7.6% |
| William Meade | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Robert Gates | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 8.8% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 27.9% | 17.4% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.