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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.13+3.25vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+1.43vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+0.79vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+0.96vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46-2.40vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.67+1.22vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-2.39+2.82vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.47-2.22vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-1.19vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-2.08-0.74vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-3.94+1.16vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College-0.17-6.77vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.89-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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3.43Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.31Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.79University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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5.96Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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3.6North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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8.22Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.82Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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7.78Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.81Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.26University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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14.16Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
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7.23Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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12.66The Citadel-2.890.0%1st Place
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11.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 14.1% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 19.9% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 21.8% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 17.0% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 18.5% | 7.6% |
| Zi Burns | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Meade | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 4.5% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 64.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 27.8% | 16.8% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.